The Lobbyist Connection

A weekly snapshot of lobbying & government affairs • September 30, 2025

Top Lines

Shutdown clock hits Oct 1: HHS contingency plan signals 41% workforce furlough if funding lapses; CDC (64%) and NIH (75%) would face steep cuts to on-site work, while Medicare/Medicaid operations continue. Source
Aviation industry warns of safety & ATC impacts if a shutdown starts Oct 1; controllers work unpaid while FAA furloughs delay inspections and hiring pipelines. Letter coverage
SEC climate rule litigation paused again: The Eighth Circuit kept cases in abeyance pending SEC action; practical compliance timelines remain uncertain for filers. Analysis

Legislation to Watch

  • Short CR chatter, but fractures emerge: Reports of a 7–10 day funding patch drew sharp progressive pushback, complicating Senate math as the deadline nears. Axios
  • Messaging wars intensify ahead of Oct 1: Competing statements frame blame and potential impacts on veterans, seniors, and public safety. White House

Regulatory Moves

FTC final order in global advertising matter (Omnicom): Clarifies scope and installs a compliance monitor, addressing potential coordination risks in media buying. FTC DocketRecent actions
FTC urges pruning of anticompetitive state regs: Staff recommendations flag rules for deletion or revision to improve competition. Press release
Federal Register at a glance (Sept 30): 173 documents across 42 agencies; 9 proposed rules and 11 final rules posted today. Today’s issue

Statehouse Watch

  • Session status check: Use live trackers to confirm special/veto sessions this week and pre-filing calendars. BallotpediaNCSL explainer

Action Items

  1. Activate shutdown contingency plans: Inventory grant cycles, permitting timelines, and rulemakings likely to slip; pre-draft member/client comms and FAQs. Advisory
  2. SEC climate rule posture: Reassess disclosure workstreams; maintain optionality on scenario planning until the Commission signals its next move. Brief
  3. Competition watch: If you touch media buying or cross-platform data deals, run an FTC risk scan against the latest orders and guidance. Roundup

Calendar & Deadlines

  • Oct 1: FY2026 begins — shutdown possible absent a CR or enacted appropriations.
  • Daily: Monitor the Federal Register for slipped publication dates during any lapse.
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